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Harris Leads Trump by 8 Points in Latest National Poll. Kamala Harris has surged ahead of Donald Trump in a new national poll, leading by 8 points the poll places Harris at 47% and Trump at 39% among registered voters, indicating a significant lead as the election nears, Newsweek reports. Conducted by Bullfinch between August 19 and 21, the poll surveyed 1,000 registered voters and it has a margin of error of ±3.1%. This marks only the second time Harris has held an 8-point lead in a national poll, following a similar lead in a Marquette poll on July 31. Since Joe Biden exited the race, Harris has consistently led Trump in national polls. According to FiveThirtyEight’s tracker, her lead has now grown to an average of 3.6 points, the largest margin she has held. Harris’ position could shift depending on the actions of third-party candidates. With independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. expected to withdraw, the dynamics of the race might change as fewer options remain on the ballot. Initially polling at around 10%, Kennedy Jr.’s support has dwindled to just 4.7%, and his expected withdrawal could influence the race’s outcome by consolidating the votes, possibly benefiting Trump by reducing the pool of conservative-leaning voter. State and national polls have consistently shown that Kennedy Jr.’s candidacy pulls more votes from Trump than from Harris, giving the vice president a strategic advantage. However, his withdrawal could potentially narrow Harris's lead. Analysis by NBC suggests that while Kennedy’s withdrawal might tighten the race, Harris maintains a strong position in the polls. As Harris continues to gain in the polls, her campaign is also preparing for upcoming debates, which could further solidify her lead if she performs strongly against Trump.
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