PREVIEW

Who is leading in the US election polls? Voters will go to the polls on 5 November to elect the next US president. Initially, the election was a rematch of 2020, but President Biden dropped out in July. Biden endorsed Vice-President Kamala Harris, shifting the dynamics of the race. The main question is whether Donald Trump will get a second term or Harris will become the first woman president. Polls initially showed Biden trailing Trump, and Harris wasn't predicted to do much better. After hitting the campaign trail, Harris gained a small lead over Trump in national polls. Harris’ numbers peaked at 47% during her party’s convention in Chicago. Trump’s average remains steady at 44%, with no boost from Robert F Kennedy’s endorsement. National polls offer insight into candidate popularity but don’t predict the final result. The US uses an electoral college system, where vote distribution matters more than total votes. The race will likely be decided in key battleground states, where polls are very close. Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are crucial battlegrounds that Trump won in 2016. Biden flipped these states in 2020, and Harris needs to win them again to secure victory. At the time Biden quit the race, he was trailing Trump by nearly five points in these battleground states.
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